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Il y a 4 modules dans ce cours
Master Bayesian modeling through Bayesian linear regression, generalized linear models, hierarchical models and model selection. This course will deepen your understanding of modeling techniques and the importance of the prior when contrasted with traditional frequentist modeling approaches. You will understand the benefits of hierarchical models and how they automatically identify the right amount of pooling between data to provide a balance between the complete and no pooling approaches. You will learn how to apply posterior predictive checks for model selection and understand the Occam’s razor principle. This course combines theoretical modeling foundations with hands-on implementations.
Welcome to Bayesian Regression and Model Selection! In this module, we will introduce the Bayesian linear regression. We will see how we can place priors on the coefficients of the models and what we can learn from their posteriors. We will also learn how to define and infer the posteriors of a Bayesian linear regression with pymc.
Inclus
5 vidéos7 lectures5 devoirs1 laboratoire non noté
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5 vidéos•Total 18 minutes
Bayesian Models•4 minutes
Bayesian Linear Regression•3 minutes
Bayesian Linear Regression in pymc•4 minutes
The choice of prior•4 minutes
Multiple predictors and interactions•3 minutes
7 lectures•Total 90 minutes
Course Overview•10 minutes
Technical and Accessibility Support•5 minutes
A brief review of modeling•15 minutes
Other Bayesian Programming Tools•10 minutes
Bayesian-vs-Frequentist Linear Regression•30 minutes
Module Wrap-Up•10 minutes
Recommended Learning Resources•10 minutes
5 devoirs•Total 85 minutes
Let's Practice: Bayesian Regression - Simple and Multiple Linear Models•30 minutes
Bayesian Linear Regression•10 minutes
Lab Check-in: Bayesian linear regression in pymc•5 minutes
The effect and importance of prior•10 minutes
Test Yourself: Bayesian Regression - Simple and Multiple Linear Models•30 minutes
1 laboratoire non noté•Total 60 minutes
Bayesian Linear Regression in pymc•60 minutes
Hierarchical Bayesian Models
Module 2•4 heures à terminer
Détails du module
In this module, we will see how hierarchical models make it easy to deal with categorical data, especially when these data are nested. We will see how they automatically identify the right amount of pooling between data to provide a balance between the complete and no pooling approaches.
Inclus
5 vidéos1 lecture5 devoirs1 laboratoire non noté
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Test Yourself: Hierarchical Bayesian Models•30 minutes
1 laboratoire non noté•Total 120 minutes
BHM example at pymc•120 minutes
Bayesian Logistic Regression and Generalized Linear Models (GLMs)
Module 3•6 heures à terminer
Détails du module
In this module, we will extend the Bayesian linear regression to be able to deal with binary (categorical) and count data. We will see the Bernoulli likelihood for the Bayesian logistic regression and how we can extend it to more than two categories through the categorical likelihood. Finally, we will see the Bayesian Poisson regression (and other options) for count data.
Inclus
3 vidéos5 lectures4 devoirs3 laboratoires non notés
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3 vidéos•Total 10 minutes
Bayesian Logistic Regression•4 minutes
Poisson regression•3 minutes
Poisson regression example•2 minutes
5 lectures•Total 72 minutes
Modeling Binary and Count Data with Bayesian GLMs•20 minutes
Binary Data Example•18 minutes
Modeling Multiclass Data with Bayesian Classification•14 minutes
Other Distributions for Count Data•15 minutes
Module Wrap-Up•5 minutes
4 devoirs•Total 82 minutes
Let's Practice: Bayesian Logistic Regression and Generalized Linear Models (GLMs)•30 minutes
Binary and categorical data•12 minutes
Count data•10 minutes
Test Yourself: Bayesian Logistic Regression and Generalized Linear Models (GLMs)•30 minutes
3 laboratoires non notés•Total 180 minutes
Logistic Rainfall•60 minutes
Modeling Multiclass Data•60 minutes
Poisson Bike Trips•60 minutes
Bayesian Model Selection & Comparison
Module 4•5 heures à terminer
Détails du module
In this module, we will see the basic notions behind model selection and the philosophical and practical differences between frequentists and Bayesians on the topic. We will understand the difference between the posterior distribution of the model parameters and the posterior predictive distributions. The latter will lead us to the ideas of posterior predictive checks and model coverage.
Inclus
4 vidéos5 lectures4 devoirs2 laboratoires non notés
Afficher les informations sur le contenu du module
4 vidéos•Total 19 minutes
Occam’s razor•5 minutes
Basics of Model Selection•3 minutes
Posterior Predictive Checks•5 minutes
Model Calibration and Coverage•6 minutes
5 lectures•Total 65 minutes
Bayesian Model Averaging•15 minutes
Example: Posterior Predictive Checks•20 minutes
Predictive -vs - Descriptive models•15 minutes
Module Wrap-Up•5 minutes
Course Summary•10 minutes
4 devoirs•Total 82 minutes
Let's Practice: Bayesian Model Selection & Comparison•30 minutes
Model Selection•12 minutes
Model Generalization•10 minutes
Test Yourself: Bayesian Model Selection & Comparison•30 minutes
2 laboratoires non notés•Total 120 minutes
BMA•60 minutes
Posterior Predictive Checks•60 minutes
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