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Il y a 6 modules dans ce cours
This course covers predictive modeling using SAS/STAT software with emphasis on the LOGISTIC procedure. This course also discusses selecting variables and interactions, recoding categorical variables based on the smooth weight of evidence, assessing models, treating missing values, and using efficiency techniques for massive data sets. You learn to use logistic regression to model an individual's behavior as a function of known inputs, create effect plots and odds ratio plots, handle missing data values, and tackle multicollinearity in your predictors. You also learn to assess model performance and compare models.
Welcome! In this module, you will review the fundamentals of predictive modeling. First we'll get you started by setting up the course environment. Then you explore the business scenario data that is used throughout the course. You’ll learn the goals of predictive modeling, key terms and model elements, and the basic workflow used to build predictive models, along with common real-world applications. You’ll also work through practical scenarios to explore data using descriptive statistics and frequency tables, and you’ll examine the code used to generate these summaries. Finally, you’ll learn about common data and analytical challenges.
Inclus
16 vidéos6 lectures6 devoirs
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16 vidéos•Total 34 minutes
Meet the Instructor•1 minute
Overview•1 minute
Introduction•0 minutes
Goals of Predictive Modeling•2 minutes
Terms for Elements in Predictive Modeling•1 minute
Basic Steps of Predictive Modeling•3 minutes
Applications of Predictive Modeling•2 minutes
Demonstration Scenario: Target Marketing for a Bank•2 minutes
Demo: Examining the Code for Generating Descriptive Statistics and Frequency Tables•2 minutes
Introduction•0 minutes
Data Challenges•6 minutes
Analytical Challenges•2 minutes
Separate Sampling•2 minutes
Avoiding the Optimism Bias: Honest Assessment•2 minutes
Splitting the Data for Model Training and Assessment•3 minutes
Demo: Splitting the Data•5 minutes
6 lectures•Total 46 minutes
What You Learn in This Course•5 minutes
Learner Prerequisites•1 minute
Access SAS Software & Set up Data•10 minutes
About the Demos and Practices in this Course•10 minutes
Frequently Asked Questions•10 minutes
Summary•10 minutes
6 devoirs•Total 100 minutes
Practice: Exploring the Bank Data for the Target Marketing Project•20 minutes
Practice: Exploring the Veterans' Organization Data Used in the Practices•20 minutes
Knowledge Check: Model Training & Sampling•5 minutes
Knowledge Check: Splitting the Data•5 minutes
Practice: Splitting the Data•20 minutes
Module-End Graded Assessment•30 minutes
Fitting the Model
Module 2•2 heures à terminer
Détails du module
In this module, you investigate the concepts behind the logistic regression model. Then you learn to use the LOGISTIC procedure to fit a logistic regression model. Finally, you learn how to score new cases and adjust the model for oversampling.
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18 vidéos1 lecture4 devoirs
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18 vidéos•Total 54 minutes
Overview•1 minute
Introduction•0 minutes
Understanding the Logistic Regression Model•3 minutes
Constraining the Posterior Probability Using the Logit Transformation•2 minutes
Understanding the Fitted Surface•1 minute
Interpreting the Model by Calculating the Odds Ratio•3 minutes
Understanding Logistic Discrimination•2 minutes
Estimating Unknown Parameters Using Maximum Likelihood Estimation•2 minutes
Interpreting Concordant, Discordant, and Tied Pairs•2 minutes
Using PROC LOGISTIC to Fit Logistic Regression Models•0 minutes
Demo: Fitting a Basic Logistic Regression Model, Part 1•8 minutes
Demo: Fitting a Basic Logistic Regression Model, Part 2•12 minutes
Scoring New Cases•0 minutes
Demo: Scoring New Cases•8 minutes
Introduction•0 minutes
Understanding the Effect of Oversampling•1 minute
Understanding the Offset•2 minutes
Demo: Correcting for Oversampling•7 minutes
1 lecture•Total 10 minutes
Summary•10 minutes
4 devoirs•Total 60 minutes
Question 2.01•5 minutes
Question 2.02•5 minutes
Practice: Fitting a Logistic Regression Model•20 minutes
Fitting the Model Review•30 minutes
Preparing the Input Variables, Part 1
Module 3•3 heures à terminer
Détails du module
In this module, you learn how to deal with common problems with your predictor variables such as missing values, categorical predictors with many levels, a high number of redundant predictors, and nonlinear relationships with the response variable.
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26 vidéos9 devoirs
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26 vidéos•Total 76 minutes
Overview•1 minute
Introduction•0 minutes
Reasons for Missing Data•3 minutes
Complete Case Analysis•2 minutes
Methods for Imputing Missing Values•3 minutes
Missing Value Imputation with Missing Value Indicator Variables•4 minutes
Demo: Imputing Missing Values•4 minutes
Cluster Imputation•2 minutes
Introduction•0 minutes
Problems Caused by Categorical Inputs•4 minutes
Solutions to Problems Caused by Categorical Inputs•1 minute
Linking to Other Data Sets•1 minute
Collapsing Categories by Thresholding•1 minute
Collapsing Categories by Using Greenacre's Method•3 minutes
Demo: Collapsing the Levels of a Nominal Input, Part 1•6 minutes
Demo: Collapsing the Levels of a Nominal Input, Part 2•10 minutes
Replacing Categorical Levels by Using Smoothed Weight-of-Evidence Coding•3 minutes
Demo: Computing the Smoothed Weight of Evidence•5 minutes
Introduction•0 minutes
Problem of Redundancy•2 minutes
Variable Clustering Method•1 minute
Understanding Principal Components•5 minutes
Divisive Clustering•4 minutes
PROC VARCLUS Syntax•1 minute
Selecting a Representative Variable from Each Cluster•1 minute
Demo: Reducing Redundancy by Clustering Variables•9 minutes
9 devoirs•Total 105 minutes
Question 3.01•5 minutes
Practice: Imputing Missing Values•20 minutes
Question 3.02•5 minutes
Question 3.03•5 minutes
Question 3.04•5 minutes
Practice: Collapsing the Levels of a Nominal Input•20 minutes
Practice: Computing the Smoothed Weight of Evidence•20 minutes
Question 3.05•5 minutes
Practice: Reducing Redundancy by Clustering Variables•20 minutes
Preparing the Input Variables, Part 2
Module 4•4 heures à terminer
Détails du module
In this module, you learn how to select the most predictive variables to use in your model.
Inclus
23 vidéos1 lecture12 devoirs
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23 vidéos•Total 92 minutes
Introduction•0 minutes
Detecting Nonlinear Relationships•4 minutes
Demo: Performing Variable Screening, Part 1•6 minutes
Demo: Performing Variable Screening, Part 2•4 minutes
Univariate Binning and Smoothing•3 minutes
Demo: Creating Empirical Logit Plots•10 minutes
Remedies for Nonlinear Relationships•2 minutes
Demo: Accommodating a Nonlinear Relationship, Part 1•6 minutes
Demo: Accommodating a Nonlinear Relationship, Part 2•8 minutes
Introduction•0 minutes
Specifying a Subset Selection Method in PROC LOGISTIC•2 minutes
Best-Subsets Selection•1 minute
Stepwise Selection•3 minutes
Backward Elimination•2 minutes
Scalability of the Subset Selection Methods in PROC LOGISTIC•3 minutes
Detecting Interactions•3 minutes
BIC-based Significance Level•3 minutes
Demo: Detecting Interactions•7 minutes
Demo: Using Backward Elimination to Subset the Variables•4 minutes
Demo: Displaying Odds Ratios for Variables Involved in Interactions•4 minutes
Demo: Creating an Interaction Plot•3 minutes
Demo: Using the Best-Subsets Selection Method•4 minutes
Demo: Using Fit Statistics to Select a Model•10 minutes
1 lecture•Total 10 minutes
Summary of Preparing the Input Variables, Parts 1 and 2•10 minutes
Practice: Using Forward Selection to Detect Interactions•20 minutes
Question 3.10•5 minutes
Practice: Using Backward Elimination to Subset the Variables•20 minutes
Question 3.11•5 minutes
Practice: Using Fit Statistics to Select a Model•20 minutes
Preparing the Input Variables Review•30 minutes
Measuring Model Performance
Module 5•3 heures à terminer
Détails du module
In this module, you learn how to assess the performance of your model and how to determine allocation rules that maximize profit. Finally, you learn how to generate a family of increasingly complex predictive models and how to select the best model.
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30 vidéos1 lecture9 devoirs
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30 vidéos•Total 78 minutes
Overview•1 minute
Introduction•0 minutes
Fit versus Complexity•2 minutes
Assessing Models when Target Event Data Is Rare•2 minutes
Demo: Preparing the Validation Data•5 minutes
Introduction•0 minutes
Understanding the Confusion Matrix•5 minutes
Measuring Performance across Cutoffs by Using the ROC Curve•4 minutes
Choosing Depth by Using the Gains Chart•3 minutes
Effects of Oversampled Data on Performance Measures•3 minutes
Adjusting a Confusion Matrix for Oversampling•1 minute
Demo: Measuring Model Performance Based on Commonly-Used Metrics•7 minutes
Introduction•0 minutes
Understanding the Effect of Cutoffs on Confusion Matrices•1 minute
Understanding the Profit Matrix•2 minutes
Choosing the Optimal Cutoff by Using the Profit Matrix•3 minutes
Using the Central Cutoff•1 minute
Using Profit to Assess Fit•0 minutes
Calculating Sampling Weights•1 minute
Demo: Using a Profit Matrix to Measure Model Performance•6 minutes
Introduction•0 minutes
Plotting Class Separation•2 minutes
Assessing Overall Predictive Power•3 minutes
Demo: Using the K-S Statistic to Measure Model Performance•2 minutes
Introduction•0 minutes
Comparing ROC Curves of Several Models"•2 minutes
Demo: Comparing ROC Curves to Measure Model Performance•4 minutes
Using Macros to Compare Many Models•1 minute
Demo: Comparing and Evaluating Many Models, Part 1•8 minutes
Demo: Comparing and Evaluating Many Models, Part 2•7 minutes
1 lecture•Total 10 minutes
Summary•10 minutes
9 devoirs•Total 85 minutes
Question 4.01•5 minutes
Question 4.02•5 minutes
Question 4.03•5 minutes
Practice: Assessing Model Performance•20 minutes
Question 4.04•5 minutes
Question 4.05•5 minutes
Question 4.06•5 minutes
Question 4.07•5 minutes
Measuring Model Performance Review•30 minutes
SAS Certification Practice Exam - Statistical Business Analysis Using SAS®9: Regression and Modeling
Module 6•1 heure à terminer
Détails du module
Inclus
1 lecture1 élément d'application
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1 lecture•Total 10 minutes
About the Certification Exam•10 minutes
1 élément d'application•Total 60 minutes
Access the Practice Exam•60 minutes
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S
SS
5·
Révisé le 10 avr. 2021
Great training sets of problems. Good guidance & teaching.
M
MC
5·
Révisé le 30 déc. 2022
Very completed and deep knowledge shared with very friendly ways, explained the knowledge very clearly. Also the practices help me to understand the knowledge better.
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RM
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Révisé le 14 juin 2021
Thank you so much to the instructor, Michael J Patetta for teaching this course!
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